Real Numbers and Other Musings

Most observers (myself included) expected this year to mark the highest voter turnout in perhaps a century. A record number of people regis...

The final Monmouth University/Gannett New Jersey Poll before Tuesday’s election puts Barack Obama ahead of John McCain by 55% to 34% in the ...

Is Frank Lautenberg too old to effectively serve as a U.S. Senator for New Jersey? The answer seems to depend on how you ask the question....

In the next few weeks, election polls will be coming fast and furious. And that also means an increase in professed skepticism from party l...

Last month, I posted an entry about not reading too much into the horse race numbers from summer polling. Last week, a post on Skeptical P...

Polls released in the past few days provide an early gauge of the upcoming elections in New Jersey. In the U.S. Senate contest, today’s Qui...

The candidates have staked out their issues and have sought to bring undecided voters into their camps. But when it comes down to it, prima...

About two months ago, I was part of a group from Leadership New Jersey that had the opportunity to meet with Governor Corzine’s chief-of-st...

The presidential primary has created a sea change in party registration in New Jersey. The Monmouth University Polling Institute has been c...

The Monmouth University Polling Institute and the Gannett New Jersey newspaper group just released a series of polls assessing New Jersey’s ...

Based on turnout in the primaries held so far, the answer is Yes! At least relative to our past performance. Primary turnout in New Jersey ...

I wasn't sure whether to call this entry "Taking a Poll on Tolls" or "Taking a Toll on Polls". A Monmouth University...

So what went on with those Democratic pre-election primary polls in New Hampshire. My take on it is that we don’t yet know what happened. ...

Welcome to the first installment of the “Real Numbers” blog. Numbers are knowledge. Numbers are power. They influence everything from media ...