Real Numbers and Other Musings

Thursday, April 30, 2009

It's Property Taxes, Stupid!

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Two months ago, I attended a conference at Rider University’s Rebovich Institute which featured campaign operatives from last year’s New Jer...
Monday, March 9, 2009

Tough Choices for Corzine

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Governor Jon Corzine will unveil the fourth budget of his administration tomorrow. The fiscal reality is that he will have to make serious ...
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Thursday, February 19, 2009

Question Wording Matters

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Today, we released a Monmouth University/Gannett New Jersey poll on same-sex marriage . I characterized the poll results – 48% in favor to ...
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Sunday, January 18, 2009

Corzine, Obama speeches study in contrasts

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What a difference a week makes. On Tuesday in Trenton, Gov. Jon S. Corzine started his fourth year in office with a restrained State of the ...
Tuesday, November 11, 2008

Record(?) Turnout in Blue(?) Jersey

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Most observers (myself included) expected this year to mark the highest voter turnout in perhaps a century. A record number of people regis...
Sunday, November 2, 2008

New Jersey Electoral Margins

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The final Monmouth University/Gannett New Jersey Poll before Tuesday’s election puts Barack Obama ahead of John McCain by 55% to 34% in the ...
Wednesday, September 17, 2008

An Age Old Question

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Is Frank Lautenberg too old to effectively serve as a U.S. Senator for New Jersey? The answer seems to depend on how you ask the question....
Thursday, August 21, 2008

Party ID Apples and Oranges

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In the next few weeks, election polls will be coming fast and furious. And that also means an increase in professed skepticism from party l...
Tuesday, July 15, 2008

To Decide or not to decide

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Last month, I posted an entry about not reading too much into the horse race numbers from summer polling. Last week, a post on Skeptical P...
Wednesday, June 11, 2008

Summertime, and the polling is easy

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Polls released in the past few days provide an early gauge of the upcoming elections in New Jersey. In the U.S. Senate contest, today’s Qui...
Monday, June 2, 2008

A Numbers-Based Primary Primer

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The candidates have staked out their issues and have sought to bring undecided voters into their camps. But when it comes down to it, prima...
Thursday, May 1, 2008

Corzine Job Approval: A Tale of Two Offices

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About two months ago, I was part of a group from Leadership New Jersey that had the opportunity to meet with Governor Corzine’s chief-of-st...
Monday, April 7, 2008

New Jersey’s New Partisan Landscape

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The presidential primary has created a sea change in party registration in New Jersey. The Monmouth University Polling Institute has been c...
Monday, March 10, 2008

The Public “Gets It”

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The Monmouth University Polling Institute and the Gannett New Jersey newspaper group just released a series of polls assessing New Jersey’s ...
Friday, February 1, 2008

Will New Jersey Voters Turn Out?

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Based on turnout in the primaries held so far, the answer is Yes! At least relative to our past performance. Primary turnout in New Jersey ...
Thursday, January 17, 2008

Polls on Tolls

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I wasn't sure whether to call this entry "Taking a Poll on Tolls" or "Taking a Toll on Polls". A Monmouth University...
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