What is up with West Virginia Democrats? Eight years ago, Hillary Clinton
won every single county on the way to a 2-to-1 victory over Barack Obama. This year she lost every single county and
got trounced by Bernie Sanders.
Well, here’s the thing. Many of
those voters aren’t really Democrats at all – at least not by any standards we
would call a Democrat in the rest of the country. While Democrats are still competitive for
statewide office there, West Virginia has been solidly red in presidential
elections for more than a decade.
In fact, the exit poll included two questions about the November
election pitting Donald Trump against either Clinton or Sanders. According to results shown on MSNBC’s primary
night coverage, nearly 3-in-10 of these Democratic primary voters actually said
they will vote for Trump in either match-up.
Let that sink in. Three-in-ten voters
who just cast a ballot in the Democratic primary said they would be voting for
Trump in November regardless of “their” party’s nominee. For the record, most of these Trump
supporters voted for Sanders over Clinton – 60% to 12%, with another 28% of
these mischief-makers voting for one of the largely unknown other names on the
ballot.
These Trump supporters who took part in the Democratic primary are more
likely than others to be from coal mining households (53%), more likely to be
very worried about the nation’s economy (81%), and more likely to want the next
president to be less liberal than Obama (69%).
The latter question has been asked in every exit poll this season and
this is the only place where that many voters in a Democratic primary said they
want to move in a less liberal direction!
These voters are most likely “legacy” Democrat. They belong to the party as it exists in West
Virginia, but they disdain the Democratic brand on the national stage. It’s not that they like Bernie Sanders, but it’s
more likely that they really detest Hillary Clinton. If these voters did not participate in the
presidential primary, we would have likely seen an extremely close margin
between Sanders and Clinton rather than Sanders’s 15 point win.
And this may not be the strangest West Virginia outcome in the past few
cycles. Remember that four years ago, a convicted felon who was incarcerated in
Texas at the time got 41% of the Democratic primary vote against Obama.
So, let’s just mark the West Virginia primary down as one strange
footnote to a very strange primary season.
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